URGENT-BONUS GIVEN - System Dynamics and Simulation Modelling (Financials &Business Plan)

*Need a business plan inc. profit & loss forecasts for the 1st 3 yrs of [login to view URL] to perform a simulation of the system dynamics of my business [login to view URL] model is summarised as follows * ***Staff*** 10 research staff & 3 admin [login to view URL] staff are paid an average min of £30,000 per annum & admin staff are paid an average of £20,000 ***Revenues*** Main source of revenues come from subscriptions paid by people who wish to buy my info. my web site will carry 20 banner adverts per month-advertisers will be prepared to pay me 0.1p for each advert for each hit on my web site ***Marketing*** My only distribution channel for marketing is the internet. including banner ads on relevant web sites and batch emails. marketing budget is £50,000 per month which results in (1-Mn-1)/50 per cent market growth in month n, where ‘Mn-1’ is my proportion of market share in month n-1.Word-of-mouth multiplier is estimated as (1-Mn-1)/75 each month. The WOM multiplier measures the effect of increasing my market share through word-of-mouth marketing (WOM). Thus, with a WOM multiplier of 0.05 in month n-1, my market share will increase by 5% in month n ***Premises***office space-rent of £50,000 per yr ***Infrastructure***Hosting of my web site is through a web-hosting company charging according to the amount of traffic in addition to a fixed charged which applies regardless of the no. of hits to my site. Total cost is thus a fixed charge of £3,000 per month in addition to 1p per hit ***Market*** Target market for my info is the investment industry & the industry sector which I research. Target market is approx 10,000 customers -each customer visiting my web site approx 7 times per [login to view URL] other competitor in the market place. ## Deliverables I need **financials** for a **business plan** that supports my request for a bank loan of £1,000,000. To achieve this, I need to present the profit and revenue forecasts for the first 3 years of operation of the business. The bank has quoted me a repayment schedule of 36 monthly repayments of £33,000 each for the loan. I will assume that I already have £500,000 seed capital from my own savings. The financial variables to include in my business plan are totals for revenues and costs each month together with a breakdown of each total; profit or loss for each month, and cash balance for each month. The business model should help me answer the following questions: 1. What is the total market share at the end of each year? 2. What is the approximate (to the nearest £10) subscription fee you need to charge each customer each year to break even in month 36? 3. What is the approximate subscription fee (to the nearest £10) you need to charge each customer each year to break even in month 24? In addition, to the financial variables above, the business plan should include: * a causal loop diagram and a diagrammatic representation of your simulation model; * an explanation and justification of the model, including definitions of the meaning of all the variables and estimates that have been included in the simulation model, and how each variable is calculated; * a commentary on the results generated making mention of any weaknesses in the model and how it could be improved. Business Plan approximately 1500 words in length in MS Word form The simulation model should be saved as a Powersim file (if this cannot be done-its is ok-and coder will still get paid) * * *This broadcast message was sent to all bidders on Sunday Mar 26, 2006 10:21:42 AM: I will reward you well....if requirements are completed ## Platform MS Word PowerSim (if this cannot be done-its is ok-and coder will still get paid)